Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.189904 3.556253 3.953132 4.415922 4.941869 5.522285 6.213062
2025-02-16 2.636973 3.125776 3.693809 4.406162 5.280438 6.324568 7.675117
2025-02-23 2.301434 2.855681 3.534650 4.434815 5.607630 7.098589 9.161026
2025-03-02 2.001283 2.573241 3.303469 4.315280 5.698459 7.548729 10.254602
2025-03-09 1.796349 2.380678 3.153506 4.265941 5.851826 8.070852 11.481674
2025-03-16 1.629759 2.217332 3.018729 4.211619 5.976742 8.548281 12.683813
2025-03-23 1.557072 2.173071 3.038808 4.370634 6.415499 9.517430 14.739807
2025-03-30 1.447454 2.064363 2.953887 4.361715 6.593768 10.101772 16.252635
2025-04-06 1.345201 1.956495 2.858652 4.323987 6.716842 10.603238 17.681918
2025-04-13 1.208979 1.786511 2.655098 4.096141 6.507213 10.531357 18.097976
2025-04-20 1.143611 1.719478 2.603671 4.105275 6.686270 11.127020 19.781585
2025-04-27 1.101463 1.684955 2.599572 4.189742 6.998455 11.983079 22.062209
2025-05-04 1.055081 1.641689 2.580163 4.250327 7.281834 12.832475 24.484755
2025-05-11 1.009595 1.596562 2.554107 4.296836 7.544505 13.674529 27.026069
2025-05-18 0.966936 1.552807 2.526489 4.337048 7.797902 14.526017 29.718875
2025-05-25 0.901777 1.466508 2.419470 4.223141 7.744165 14.759899 31.090656
2025-06-01 0.853295 1.405477 2.351806 4.175570 7.813525 15.248796 33.111371
2025-06-08 0.808022 1.347074 2.284571 4.122684 7.865874 15.705819 35.127035
2025-06-15 0.796881 1.348070 2.323930 4.277875 8.359190 17.169681 39.844785
2025-06-22 0.763249 1.306453 2.282110 4.269177 8.506361 17.882907 42.789352
2025-06-29 0.728290 1.260274 2.228627 4.232366 8.588644 18.456550 45.466294
2025-07-06 0.671991 1.171637 2.089570 4.010023 8.241960 17.986284 45.227553
2025-07-13 0.648333 1.142639 2.062880 4.018938 8.414221 18.777859 48.659402